Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
178 North Florida 0.0%   19 - 11 10 - 4 19 - 11 10 - 4 -0.9      +6.0 44 -6.9 330 75.2 66 +0.1 165 -1.0 1
188 Florida Gulf Coast 95.4%   16   16 - 13 8 - 6 16 - 13 8 - 6 -1.6      -0.1 177 -1.4 207 65.4 293 -3.2 214 -4.9 4
223 NJIT 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 6 16 - 14 8 - 6 -3.6      -2.1 218 -1.5 209 72.3 117 -3.1 212 -4.3 3
258 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 7 9 - 20 7 - 7 -6.1      -2.5 233 -3.6 273 72.1 122 -7.4 278 -5.7 6
273 Jacksonville 4.6%   12 - 16 8 - 6 12 - 16 8 - 6 -7.2      -3.6 267 -3.6 272 74.6 76 -6.3 262 -3.5 2
279 Lipscomb 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 7 10 - 21 7 - 7 -7.6      -2.6 237 -4.9 301 80.6 15 -7.5 280 -5.5 5
283 Stetson 0.0%   8 - 22 4 - 10 8 - 22 4 - 10 -7.9      -0.7 189 -7.2 336 74.1 84 -9.6 302 -10.9 8
321 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 10 7 - 21 4 - 10 -11.2      -4.5 287 -6.7 326 68.3 221 -10.9 314 -10.4 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
North Florida 1.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 2.0 100.0
NJIT 2.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 5.0 100.0
Jacksonville 2.0 100.0
Lipscomb 5.0 100.0
Stetson 7.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
North Florida 10 - 4 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 8 - 6 100.0
NJIT 8 - 6 100.0
Kennesaw St. 7 - 7 100.0
Jacksonville 8 - 6 100.0
Lipscomb 7 - 7 100.0
Stetson 4 - 10 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Florida 100.0% 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast
NJIT
Kennesaw St.
Jacksonville
Lipscomb
Stetson
South Carolina Upstate


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 95.4% 95.4% 0.0% 16   0.0 95.3 4.6 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 4.6 95.4 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 95.4% 53.6% 76.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 4.6% 4.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 79.1% 0.8 20.9 79.1
2nd Round 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0